The Ethno-Territorial Separation of Bosnia Was the Key to Ending the War and Keeping Peace
The Ethno-Territorial Separation of Bosnia Was the Key to Ending the War and Keeping Peace
Author: Robert Hayden
As befits a successful peace agreement, the November 1995 Dayton accords that ended the Bosnian war were marked on their twenty-fifth anniversary with a flurry of international conferences. Oddly enough, even though a general acknowledgment that the accords have kept the peace, most recommendations call for radically “revising Dayton,” on the grounds that Bosnia’s institutions are too cumbersome, prone to corruption and politically unfair to minorities. Even more oddly, many proposals have been made to address these problems by dismantling the very structures that have brought and maintained peace. Instead, NATO forces are supposed to impose upon the Croats and Serbs of Bosnia, half the population and majorities in 60 percent of its territory, the centralized state that they went to war to prevent. Since there are no indications that many Croats and Serbs will accept this, NATO troops would likely be regarded by them as an occupying force, a role that has not worked well in Afghanistan or Iraq.
The constitution of Bosnia & Herzegovina (B&H) that was included as annex 4 of the Dayton agreement is certainly complex. It divided the country into sub-territories, almost all of them dominated by only one of the country’s three main ethno-national communities: Bosniaks (known until 1993 as Muslims), Croats and Serbs. These ethno-polities are linked in a confederal structure, with the central government holding very little authority, and even that conditioned on rarely achieved consensus from the representatives of the three communities. Almost all governmental power resides at the levels of the ethno-territorial “entities”, one Serb, the other Bosniak and Croat, and within this last, among ten cantons, five Bosniak, three Croat, and two mixed.
[VIDEO] Ian Bremmer: The World Moves Too Fast for “Geopolitical Centuries” | Horizons Interview
Horizons presents an exclusive interview with Ian Bremmer, President and Founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. The conversation explores the current state of global affairs, including the idea of a “geopolitical recession,” the rise of Asia, shifts in the domestic political landscape in the United States, transatlantic relations, the future of global governance, as well as the growing impact of artificial intelligence on international stability and economic transformation. The interview was conducted by Horizons Editor in Chief Vuk Jeremić and recorded in November 2025.
Read more
Horizons Discussion with Jeffrey Sachs on the Asia-Pacific Century
The Center for International Relations and Sustainable Development (CIRSD) hosted a high-level Horizons Discussion featuring Professor Jeffrey D. Sachs, one of the world’s most renowned intellectuals, in conversation with Vuk Jeremić, President of CIRSD and Editor-in-Chief of Horizons. The event marked the launch of the 32nd volume of Horizons, titled The Asia-Pacific Century.
Read more
When Development Falters: The Cost of Europe’s Inward Turn
At a time of growing global uncertainty and polarization, it can often be difficult to pinpoint the specific moments that will have the most pronounced impact on the long-term strength of our international system.
Read more
GPDI Co-Chair María Fernanda Espinosa Calls for UN Reform Centered on Preventive Diplomacy in Interview with GZERO Media
Paris — On the sidelines of the Paris Peace Forum, María Fernanda Espinosa, Co-Chair of the Global Preventive Diplomacy Initiative (GPDI) and former President of the United Nations General Assembly, spoke with GZERO Media’s Tony Maciulis about the urgent need to make global peace efforts more proactive through preventive diplomacy.
Read more